UTILITY WEEK | 20TH - 26TH JULY 2018 |
13
Policy & Regulation
DECENTRALISATION
HEAT
CONSUMER EVOLUTION
STEADY PROGRESSION
COMMUNITY RENEWABLES
TWO DEGREES
Transmission Distributed Micro Peak demand
Oil boilers Gas boiler Gas and heat pump GSHP Hybrid heat pump gas boiler District heat
Electric storage heaters ASHP Hydrogen Bio-LPG Micro-CHP (inc fuel cells)
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
2017 2015 2025 2040 2050
Limited ASHP growth
Gas boilers survive
Gas boilers survive
Gas and oil boilers decline
Gas and oil boilers decline
Oil boilers survive
Oil boilers survive
Hydrogen growth
Hydrogen growth reaches 32%
Slow district heat growth
District heat growth
Strong ASHP growth
Slow ASHP growth
Some ASHP growth
2017 2015 2025 2040 2050
2017 2015 2025 2040 2050
2017 2015 2025 2040 2050
300
250
150
100
50
0
300
250
150
100
50
0
300
250
15 0
100
50
0
300
250
150
100
50
0
45
40
30
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Location
of
electricity
capacity/peak
demand
(GW)
Location
of
electricity
capacity/peak
demand
(GW)
Location
of
electricity
capacity/peak
demand
(GW)
Location
of
electricity
capacity/peak
demand
(GW)
Millions
6%
6%
5%
26%
69%
15%
31%
30%
63%
55%
15%
14%
36%
23%
22%
49%
63%
72%
45
40
30
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Millions
45
40
30
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Millions
45
40
30
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Millions
CONSUMER EVOLUTION
STEADY PROGRESSION
COMMUNITY RENEWABLES
TWO DEGREES
source: National Grid
